Match Info

J2 League - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Renofa Yamaguchi		Imabari

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.45	3.15	2.11	Watch
	3.94	3.17	2.17
	3.36	3.14	2.22	Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.63	3.18	2.03	Watch
	3.45	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.1 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renofa Yamaguchi
26.1%

Draw
29.8%

Imabari
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Imabari will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Imabari (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Imabari (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marsman N. (G) 55. Okaniwa S. 14. Shimodo R. 4. Matsuda K. 27. Ozawa R. 11. Yokoyama R. 17. Tanabe K. 40. Naruoka H. 38. Suenaga T. 19. Yamamoto S. 45. Yamamoto O.	1. Tachikawa K. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 7. Yamada T. 37. Umeki R. 18. Arai H. 17. Mochii K. 9. Kondo T. 10. Marcus Vinicius 11. Tanque W.
Substitutes
34. Furukawa D. 10. Ikegami J. 15. Itakura T. 18. Kamekawa M. 28. Kobayashi S. 13. Miyayoshi T. 8. Noyori K. 30. Okuyama Y. 26. Taguchi J. (G)	13. Fujioka K. 4. Ichihara R. 44. Ito G. (G) 50. Mikado Y. 33. Sasa S. 24. Takeuchi Y. 20. Vinicius Diniz 36. Yokoyama Y. 14. Yuba K.
Coaches
Shigaki R.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Yamamoto O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
64', Arai H. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
64', Yamada T. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
66', Marsman N. 🟨,
70', Kondo T. 🟨,
73', Ozawa R. ↓, Kamekawa M. ↑,
74', Kondo T. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Yokoyama Y. ⚽,
77', Yokoyama R. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
77', Naruoka H. ↓, Ikegami J. ↑,
77', Yamamoto S. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
79', Ichihara R. 🟨,
81', Mochii K. ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
83', Suenaga T. ↓, Miyayoshi T. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Yokoyama Y. ⚽,
90+6', Kamekawa M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Imabari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Imabari have a series of home games.

Imabari will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
19.04.25	Sagan Tosu - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kashima Antlers	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Blaublitz Akita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWTL
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
20.04.25	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Imabari - Cerezo Osaka	3:4 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
12.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Imabari	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Imabari - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWW

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