Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Nara Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.75	3.4	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.55	4.3
	1.79	3.52	4.42	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.72	3.42	4.43	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.75)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	4.3 (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
52.4%

Draw
26.3%

Nara Club
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Imabari - Nara Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yamamoto T. (G) 9. Kondo T. 29. Maruyama Y. 15. Gabriel Gomes 33. Sasa S. 77. Kato J. 25. Sato R. 6. Kajiura Y. 17. Mochii K. 10. Junio E. 19. Furuyama K.	96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 16. Okuda Y. 27. Nakayama M. 50. Shibamoto R. 10. Morita R. 7. Tamura R. 20. Kunitake Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 17. Tamura S.
Substitutes
44. Hayashi M. 34. Kikuchi K. 8. Komai Y. 36. Kubo K. 20. Rodrigo Souza 1. Tachikawa K. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 38. Umakoshi H. 2. Umeki R.	37. Hamana G. 22. Ikoma K. 36. Ishii T. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 47. Olasunkanmi D. 11. Sato R. 21. Tomizu R. 8. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Tamura S. ⚽, Tamura R. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Junio E. ⚽, Sasa S. (A),
24', Junio E. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 1 - 2, Kunitake Y. ⚽, Tamura R. (A),
41', Kawasaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Yoshimura Y. 🟨,
53', Kato J. ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
58', Kajiura Y. ↓, Son T. ↑,
58', Mochii K. ↓, Kubo K. ↑,
61', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Ikoma K. ↑,
61', Shibamoto R. ↓, Tomizu R. ↑,
61', Tamura S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
71', Okuda Y. ↓, Ishii T. ↑,
75', Sato R. ↓, Komai Y. ↑,
75', Furuyama K. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
83', Kawasaki S. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Imabari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nara Club has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Imabari is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Imabari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Ehime - Imabari	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Albirex Niigata - Imabari	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Imabari	1:0 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Imabari - Ehime	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Nara Club
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Nara Club - Kochi United	1:0 penalties ✺
25.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Ehime - Nara Club	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Nara Club	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.02.26	Nara Club - Imabari	1:0
Japan J3 League
31.08.24	Imabari - Nara Club	6:0
03.05.24	Nara Club - Imabari	2:1
09.09.23	Nara Club - Imabari	1:1
02.04.23	Imabari - Nara Club	1:1

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