Match Info

J2 League - Round 17

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2	2.87	3.6
	2.1	2.98	3.55	Watch
	2.21	3.19	3.77
	2.15	3.03	3.71	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.6
	2.09	3.06	3.62	Watch
	2.1	2.98	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.98)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
43.9%

Draw
30.6%

Oita Trinita
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Imabari - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oita Trinita: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Oita Trinita (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Oita Trinita (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Ueda S. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 14. Yuba K. 18. Arai H. 7. Yamada T. 9. Kondo T. 10. Marcus Vinicius (C) 28. Patrick Verhon 11. Tanque W.	32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 31. Matheus Pereira (C) 3. Derlan 44. Yoshida M. 5. Nakagawa H. 38. Amagasa T. 29. Utsumoto S. 9. Arima K. 14. Ikeda R. 13. Isa K.
Substitutes
15. Abe R. 3. Fukumori N. 21. Hino T. 4. Ichihara R. 8. Noguchi W. 22. Saitai Y. 33. Sasa S. 71. Takagiwa T. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y.	34. Fujiwara Y. 19. Kozakai A. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 25. Sakakibara K. 35. Sato J. 4. Satsukawa A. 16. Shige T. 30. Tone I. 15. Yashiki Y.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Katanosaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Patrick Verhon 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Marcus Vinicius (Own goal),
31', Nakagawa H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Derlan 🟨,
65', Nakagawa H. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
71', Kondo T. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
71', Yamada T. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Marcus Vinicius ⚽, Tanque W. (A),
76', Utsumoto S. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
76', Isa K. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
89', Yuba K. ↓, Abe R. ↑,
89', Patrick Verhon ↓, Saitai Y. ↑,
90+2', Yashiki Y. 🟨,
90+3', Ikeda R. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
90+3', Yoshida M. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
90+5', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Imabari is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oita Trinita has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Imabari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Imabari - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Ventforet Kofu - Imabari	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Imabari - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Oita Trinita - Lvnirosso	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.05.25	Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Kataller Toyama - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTL

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