Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 28

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Imbabura		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.3
	2.65	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.63	3.51	2.6
	2.61	3.44	2.55	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.38
	2.66	3.41	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.44)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.46 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
35.2%

Draw
27.2%

Deportivo Cuenca
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	19%	28.6%

Imbabura - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Imbabura: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Recalde Baez E. E. (G) 4. Medina E. A. 3. Cabeza E. 14. Lecanda T. 19. Pepinos O. 22. Mendoza E. 8. Caicedo R. 10. Espinoza T. 99. Luna Tobar C. 23. Klimowicz L. 7. Pantoja L. (C)	31. Piedra H. (G) 25. Lopez A. 2. Duarte B. 23. Guevara E. 18. Piedra I. 40. Mera F. 27. Moreno Robles K. E. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 10. Luna D. 15. Morocho R. 12. Magnin P.
Substitutes
34. Alcivar J. 6. Benitez J. 11. Burbano D. 5. Cevallos G. 13. Chala M. 15. Chavez R. 2. Coronel G. 31. Guisamano J. 9. Paz F. 29. Pita J. 24. Sanchez S. 1. Valero M. (G)	4. Biojo R. 70. Branda V. 17. Corozo B. 8. Davila E. 1. Eduardo Jose Jimenez Sarmiento (G) 20. Mendez M. 5. Noboa D. 37. Venezia A. 77. Zambrano M.
Coaches
Rodriguez G.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Cabeza E. 🟨,
34', Magnin P. 🟨,
41', Piedra I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Morocho R. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
46', Luna D. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
59', Caicedo R. 🟨,
65', Medina E. A. ↓, Chala M. ↑,
65', Pantoja L. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
69', Lecanda T. 🟨,
73', Mera F. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Branda V. ⚽, Mancinelli L. (A),
79', Branda V. 🟨,
81', Klimowicz L. ↓, Burbano D. ↑,
81', Caicedo R. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
85', Mancinelli L. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
86', Lecanda T. ↓, Pita J. ↑,
90', Piedra H. 🟨,
90+1', Mendoza E. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Branda V. ⚽,
90+4', Magnin P. ↓, Zambrano M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Imbabura is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Cuenca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Imbabura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Imbabura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.11.24	Libertad Loja - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
28.10.24	Imbabura - Técnico Universitario	0:6 ✺
19.10.24	Independiente del Valle - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Imbabura - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.11.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Imbabura	5:2

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