Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 27

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Cumbayá		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.55	3.34	2.13
	3.47	3.3	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.46	3.31	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (4.01)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	2.09 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
27.2%

Draw
28.5%

Deportivo Cuenca
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lemos A. (C) 2. Delgado F. 16. Gustavino L. 14. Suarez D. 37. Estacio G. 60. Ortiz D. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 8. Valencia M. 54. Caicedo B. 18. Almagro A. 27. Ortiz J.	31. Piedra H. (G) 25. Lopez A. 2. Duarte B. 3. Mina S. 18. Piedra I. 27. Moreno Robles K. E. 40. Mera F. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 10. Luna D. 70. Branda V. 12. Magnin P.
Substitutes
5. Altuna A. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 19. Diaz M. 15. Ontivero L. 4. Paredes J. 12. Pluas W. 29. Rivera K. 32. Vides B.	4. Biojo R. 14. Chacon J. 17. Corozo B. 8. Davila E. 1. Eduardo Jose Jimenez Sarmiento (G) 23. Guevara E. 15. Morocho R. 5. Noboa D. 37. Venezia A.
Coaches
Chamorro Morales D. A.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Diaz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz M. ↓, Rivera K. ↑,
55', Estacio G. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Almagro A. ⚽,
61', Branda V. ↓, Morocho R. ↑,
61', Mancinelli L. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
71', Ortiz J. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
76', Almagro A. 🟨,
78', Valencia M. 🟨,
86', Caicedo B. ↓, Pluas W. ↑,
87', Suarez D. 🟨,
87', Piedra I. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
90+3', Almagro A. ↓, Altuna A. ↑,
90+4', Valencia M. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Cuenca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Cuenca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.10.24	Deportivo Macará - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Cumbayá - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Libertad Loja - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cumbayá - Emelec	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Cumbayá - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTLWL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:4 ✺
21.09.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.05.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	2:1
18.08.23	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
20.03.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	1:0
16.09.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Cumbayá	1:1
01.05.22	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1

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