The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Cuenca 30.3%
Draw 29.7%
Independiente del Valle 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
29.3%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
28.4%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Ind del Valle (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. (C) 23. Guevara E. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 30. Maccari M. 43. Ordonez J. 20. Garcia B. 21. Morocho S. 10. Ibarra R. 11. Rivero G.
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 16. Briones R. 55. Guagua D. 17. Rodriguez A. 99. Reasco D.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 28. Boolsen P. 14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 7. Mancinelli L. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 6. Postel S. 8. Vega E.
6. Alcivar J. 50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 14. Carabajal M. 9. Gonzalez C. 53. Lerma J. 19. Loor L. 8. Ochoa Y. 31. Pata E. 11. Perello M. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 23. Viacava J.
Coaches
Celico J.
Papa J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Guagua D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Ordonez J. ⚽,
35', Garcia B. 🟨,
38', Espinoza J. 🟨,
45+6', Reasco D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Rivero G. ⚽, Morocho S. (A),
60', Espinoza J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
60', Briones R. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
62', Lopez A. 🟨,
63', Ibarra R. ↓, Postel S. ↑,
68', Guagua D. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
71', Piedra M. ↓, Boolsen P. ↑,
71', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
71', Ordonez J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Sornoza J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Angulo J. ⚽, Perello M. (A),
78', Garcia B. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
87', Mendez J. 🟨,
90+4', Quintana A. 🟨,
90+5', Klimowicz M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).