Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K League 1 - Round 7

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Referee: Lee Dong-Jun (Kor)


	Incheon United		Daegu

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.16	3.15	4.02
	2.13	3.15	4.05
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.16	3.24	3.56	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.33)	3.14 ↓ (3.21)	3.67 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
44.2%

Draw
30.1%

Daegu
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Daegu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	66.7%	8.3%

Incheon United - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min S. (G) 47. Kim Dong-Min 82. Jonjic M. 4. Oh Ban-Suk 23. Jeong Dong-yun 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 40. Mpoku P. 14. Choi Woo-Jin 77. Park Seung-Ho 9. Mugosa S. 21. Baek M.	1. Choi Young-Eun (G) 7. Kim Jin-Hyeok 20. Kim Kang-San 6. Ko Myeong-Seok 22. Jang S. 14. Park Se-Jin 5. Yoshino K. 33. Hong Chul 10. Go Jae-Hyeon 3. Ahn Chang-Min 29. Park Jae-Hyun
Substitutes
18. Cheon Seong-Hoon 20. Delbridge H. 11. Gerso 7. Kim D. 26. Kim Seong-Min 55. Kwon Han-Jin 25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 28. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 6. Moon Ji-Hwan	38. Bae Soo-Min 44. Jeong Hyun K. 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 19. Kim Y. 15. Lee Won-Woo 74. Lee Yong-Rae 99. Lucas Barcelos 21. Oh Seung-Hoon (G) 25. Son S.
Coaches
Cho S.	Choi Won-Kwon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Kim Dong-Min ⚽,
32', Ko Myeong-Seok 🟨,
38', Jeong Dong-yun 🟨,
38', Park Jae-Hyun ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
41', Baek M. ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
45+3', Jang S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Hong Chul 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Yoshino K. ⚽, Hong Chul (A),
58', Mpoku P. ↓, Kim D. ↑,
58', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Gerso ↑,
76', Yoshino K. ↓, Lee Yong-Rae ↑,
76', Ahn Chang-Min ↓, Kim Y. ↑,
81', Jeong Dong-yun ↓, Moon Ji-Hwan ↑,
82', Kim Jin-Hyeok ↓, Lee Won-Woo ↑,
82', Park Se-Jin ↓, Son S. ↑,
85', Kim Kang-San 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Incheon won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Daegu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Incheon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Incheon won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Incheon won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
06.04.24	Incheon United - Jeju	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Gwangju - Incheon United	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
10.03.24	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTT
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
07.04.24	Daegu - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Gangwon - Daegu	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Gwangju - Daegu	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Daegu - Suwon	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
03.12.23	Daegu - Incheon United	2:1
13.08.23	Incheon United - Daegu	3:1
27.05.23	Daegu - Incheon United	2:2
01.04.23	Incheon United - Daegu	0:0
07.08.22	Daegu - Incheon United	2:3
17.05.22	Incheon United - Daegu	2:2
05.04.22	Daegu - Incheon United	1:2

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