Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.72	2.92	5.01
	1.74	3.13	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.07)	3.02 ↑ (3)	4.86 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
51.7%

Draw
29.8%

Boca Unidos
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

31.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.

Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Chivilcoy - Boca Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Zarza J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 0, Taborda C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.08.24	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Unión de Sunchales	4:2 ✺
27.07.24	Crucero del Norte - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTWTW
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.08.24	Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWTW

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