Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vinotinto		Atlético Rojiblanco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.10	4.33
	1.98	2.95	3.65
	1.85	3.15	4.93
	1.8	3.24	4.84
	1.89	2.91	4.16
	1.77	3.06	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.07 ↑ (2.95)	4.45 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
49.6%

Draw
29.8%

Atlético Rojiblanco
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

31.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético Rojiblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Rojiblanco than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Atlético Rojiblanco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Guelfi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Vinotinto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Rojiblanco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vinotinto has had a series of home games.

Vinotinto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atletico FC	29	13	13	3	36:19	17	52
3	Vinotinto	29	13	9	7	37:22	15	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.08.26	Vinotinto - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Vinotinto - El Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gualaceo - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
31.05.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	3:0
26.03.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Vinotinto	1:0

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