Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Independiente Juniors		Atlético Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
				Watch
	2.7	3	2.99
				Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.56	3.01	2.89	Watch
	2.12	3.09	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.19)	3 ↓ (3.25)	2.96 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
38.6%

Draw
30.5%

Atlético Vinotinto
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Independiente Juniors - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Klinger J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Preciado G. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Renteria M. ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ))

Independiente Jr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético Vinotinto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Vinotinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente Jr has had a series of away games.

Independiente Jr might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independiente Jr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Juniors - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
09.06.25	LDU Portoviejo - Independiente Juniors	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
05.06.25	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Imbabura - Independiente Juniors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWTL
- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
04.06.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
28.05.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Gualaceo - Atlético Vinotinto	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
08.04.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	3:2

Independiente Juniors - Atlético Vinotinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide