Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	19:00	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Vargas Torres		Atlético Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.99	2.97	4.62
	1.99	3.13	3.95	Watch
	1.95	2.83	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	2.98 ↓ (3.12)	4.29 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
47.1%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Vinotinto
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

29.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.1%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Vargas Torres is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Vinotinto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vargas Torres is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vargas Torres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTWT
- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
04.09.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	0:3 ✺
28.08.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0
04.06.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2
26.03.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1

Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto