Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Guayaquil City		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.59	3.42	5
	1.66	3.87	4.65	Watch
	1.71	3.44	4.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	3.58 ↓ (3.87)	4.71 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
55.1%

Draw
25.5%

Independiente Juniors
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Guayaquil City is Qualified for Liga Pro (First stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3.

Guayaquil City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Independiente Jr is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guayaquil City is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Copa
22.10.25	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
18.10.25	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Guayaquil City - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
02.10.25	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Guayaquil City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWW
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.10.25	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	0:2
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0
02.04.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	1:1
03.10.24	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	0:0
17.08.24	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	2:3
05.06.24	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	0:0
09.04.24	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	1:0

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