Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday


	Independiente Juniors		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2	3	3.6
	2.02	3	3.6
	2.05	3.18	3.83
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	2.06	3.1	3.44
	2.03	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
44.6%

Draw
30.1%

Libertad Loja
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Independiente Juniors - Libertad Loja Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Independiente Juniors is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Libertad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.10.22	El Nacional - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Independiente Juniors - Manta	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
22.09.22	Búhos ULVR - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
15.09.22	Independiente Juniors - Olmedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWTW
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.10.22	Libertad Loja - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Búhos ULVR - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Libertad Loja - Olmedo	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Atlético Santo Domingo - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Libertad Loja - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
28.08.22	Libertad Loja - Independiente Juniors	2:2
20.07.22	Independiente Juniors - Libertad Loja	0:0
05.05.22	Libertad Loja - Independiente Juniors	1:0

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