Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 20

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)


	Real Oruro		Aurora

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.15	3.4	2.98	Watch
	2.22	3.42	3.07	Watch
	2.12	3.46	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)	3.42 ↑ (3.24)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
42.3%

Draw
26.8%

Aurora
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Real Oruro - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (G) 23. Villegas Y. 5. Alessandrini A. 28. Alvarez E. 20. Gomez Saca R. 18. Orihuela R. 22. Ribera C. 27. Zeballos S. 10. Ali L. (C) 11. Gustavo Oliveira 37. Vila L.	99. Akologo D. (G) 21. Ballivian R. 52. Sanchez H. 35. Justiniano G. 12. Torrico J. 23. Fernandez A. 6. Sejas C. 5. Amarilla A. 15. Viviani L. 8. Ramallo R. (C) 69. Terrazas A.
Substitutes
77. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 29. Castedo 97. Cuellar Orti R. 35. Fernandez D. 25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 17. Ortiz M. 30. Prieto J. 44. Romero J. 39. Vaca L. 19. Vallejos Y. 8. Velasco W.	9. Blanco O. 33. Fabinho 27. Flores A. 7. Huayhuata I. 55. Michel J. 20. Sanchez A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 26. Torrico D. 3. Vaca O. 10. Verdun J. 16. Vidaurre I.
Coaches
Robledo M.	Quiruchi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Justiniano G. 🟨,
7', Gustavo Oliveira 🟨,
9', Sanchez H. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Zeballos S. ⚽, Alessandrini A. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Ramallo R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽, Orihuela R. (A),
45+7', Sanchez H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Fernandez A. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
57', Gustavo Oliveira ↓, Vaca L. ↑,
57', Vila L. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Ribera C. ⚽,
69', Ali L. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
72', Ballivian R. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
75', Blanco O. (Pen),
76', 4 - 1, Zeballos S. ⚽, Bravo Adan A. F. (A),
80', 4 - 2, Terrazas A. ⚽, Ramallo R. (A),
81', Vallejos Y. 🟨,
82', Orihuela R. 🟨,
86', Zeballos S. ↓, Prieto J. ↑,
89', Gomez Saca R. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 2, Vallejos Y. ⚽, Orihuela R. (A),
90+6', 5 - 3, Ramallo R. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aurora is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.25	Oriente Petrolero - Real Oruro	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.08.25	Real Oruro - Independiente Petroleros	3:4 ✺
08.08.25	ABB - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Real Oruro - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLWW
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.25	Aurora - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.08.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aurora - Blooming	4:1 ✺
10.08.25	Aurora - Guabirá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.25	Aurora - Real Oruro	2:2

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