Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)


	Independiente Petroleros		Libertad Gran Mamoré

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.33	4.75	7
	1.34	4.7	7
	1.4	4.61	7.06
	1.37	4.95	7.8	Watch
	1.37	4.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)	4.72 ↑ (4.12)	7.29 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
67.7%

Draw
19.6%

Libertad Gran Mamoré
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Petroleros's performance.

Libertad Gran Mamoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Gran Mamoré might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Petroleros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Gran Mamoré than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Independiente Petroleros - Libertad Gran Mamoré Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Gran Mamoré will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Independiente Petroleros is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.03.23	Aurora - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Oriente Petrolero - Independiente Petroleros	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
15.02.23	Independiente Petroleros - Always Ready	1:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.02.23	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- Libertad Gran Mamoré
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.03.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Nacional Potosí - Libertad Gran Mamoré	5:1 ✺
19.02.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Jorge Wilstermann	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
15.02.23	Royal Pari - Libertad Gran Mamoré	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.02.23	Always Ready - Libertad Gran Mamoré	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL

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