Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Quilmes		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.6	2.89	3.2
	2.5	2.88	2.88
	2.48	3.1	3.02
	2.43	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.71)	3 ↓ (3.06)	2.94 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
37.2%

Draw
31.1%

Independiente Rivadavia
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 2. Diaz G. 6. Giampaoli R. 3. Erquiaga I. 4. Brizuela E. 5. Ramirez I. 8. Colman I. 11. Lattanzio C. 7. Bonetto J. 10. Batista A. 9. Anselmo F. (C)	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Petrasso F. 2. Flores S. 6. Maidana M. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Gonzalez M. 7. Ramis V. 9. Perales J. 10. Aguirre J.
Substitutes
14. Bindella A. 17. Capano J. 18. Castro F. 15. Garcia M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 16. Postigo J. 19. Sandoval T. 13. Tevez F.	15. Ascacibar J. 14. Dionisio A. 19. Ilarregui F. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 16. Ortale M. 20. Reali M. 18. Sanchez B. 17. Tonetto D.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Berti A.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.23	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Racing de Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
22.07.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	2:0
20.02.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	1:0
02.03.19	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
11.03.18	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1
Copa Argentina
30.07.15	Quilmes - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0

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