The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 44.7%
Draw 29.8%
Gimnasia La Plata 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.8%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
26.1%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 14. Gomez L. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. (C) 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 77. Sequeira L. 43. Sartori F. 17. Salas M.
23. Insfran N. (G) 31. Barros Schelotto B. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 18. Seoane M. 5. Miramon I. 9. Zalazar M. 17. Janson L. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 29. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G. 32. Vazquez K. A. 40. Villalba I.
15. Castillo H. (G) 19. Colazo A. 35. Cortazzo J. 36. Lamella L. 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 10. Schelotto N. 25. Steimbach A. 26. Torres F. 32. Torres M.
Coaches
Berti A.
Pereyra A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Elordi J. M. ⚽, Salas M. (A),
23', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomez L. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
51', Miramon I. 🟨,
62', Bonifacio E. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
66', Zalazar M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
66', Seoane M. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
70', Sequeira L. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
70', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
80', Janson L. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
80', Barros Schelotto B. ↓, Steimbach A. ↑,
81', Fernandez M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
81', Sartori F. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Colazo A. ⚽, Torres M. (A),
90+1', Studer S. 🟨,
90+1', Auzmendi A. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Bookmakers give the edge to Independiente R for this game.
Confirmed absences for Independiente R: Bonifacio E.
(Inactive)
Macagno R.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Gimnasia La Plata: Castillo H.
(Inactive)
Cortazzo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Errecalde G.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Merlo J.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Independiente R has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente R against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Argentina
South-america
Usa
World
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Costa L. 
Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 
Castillo H. (G) 
