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Current Win Probability
Rionegro Águilas 43.8%
Draw 30.8%
Junior Barranquilla 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29.3%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
31.2%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rionegro Águilas's performance.
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Junior will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Salazar A. (G) 5. Hernandez D. 2. Garcia J. 3. Varela J. 20. Higgins A. 16. Pineda J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 8. Ricaurte A. 32. Mena J. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 9. Rivaldo J.
30. Martinez J. (G) 5. Rivera D. 3. Herrera E. 24. Pestana J. 27. Navia J. 28. Celis G. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 21. Canchimbo J. 20. Sarmiento J. 88. Castrillon B. 70. Bacca C. (C)
Substitutes
18. Alvarez A. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 90. Benitez Hernandez R. A. 34. Hurtado J. (G) 30. Lara Vasquez N. 27. Londono C. 99. Obregon J. 25. Roa J. 10. Uruena B.
34. Guerrero J. 33. Monzon L. 10. Muriel L. 9. Paiva G. 18. Perez K. 7. Rivera H. 1. Silveira M. (G)
Coaches
Nino J.
Arias A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Castrillon B. ⚽, Navia J. (A),
9', Navia J. 🟨,
33', Higgins A. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
45', 0 - 2, Bacca C. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
45+4', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
46', Hernandez D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
58', Bacca C. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
58', Canchimbo J. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
64', Navia J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
68', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
72', Castrillon B. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,
73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
73', Pineda J. 🟨,
82', Guerrero J. 🟨,
82', Silveira M. 🟨,
84', Pineda J. 🟨,
88', 0 - 3, Muriel L. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
90', Rivaldo J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rionegro Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Aguilas
12
3
6
3
16:17
-1
15
17
Junior
12
2
4
6
18:22
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Junior Barranquilla - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Salazar A. (G) 
Varela J. 
Paiva G. 
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