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Current Win Probability
Independiente de la Chorrera 29.7%
Draw 30.7%
Árabe Unido 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
29.8%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.4%
29.5%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Independiente de la Chorrera - Árabe Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez A. (C) 4. Fori D. 13. Negrete G. 15. Giron J. 27. Morales A. 18. Giron E. 20. McKenzie A. 52. Cifuentes A. 24. Obando J. 28. Ruiz M. 43. Gomez V.
12. Mosquera K. (G) 29. Valencia J. 47. Graham R. 3. Llerena O. 14. Dupuy C. 94. Chara G. 13. Cooper A. (C) 35. Jimenez J. 20. Collymore R. 19. Harrison J. 8. Breary M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Giron J. ⚽,
37', McKenzie A. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
45+1', Harrison J. 🟨,
45+1', Chara G. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Collymore R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jimenez J. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
47', Giron E. 🟨,
50', Cooper A. 🟨,
59', Graham R. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
68', Giron J. 🟨,
68', Obando J. ↓, Altamirano A. ↑,
69', 🟨,
82', Breary M. ↓, Reefer O. ↑,
84', Valencia J. 🟨,
85', Cifuentes A. 🟨,
85', Giron J. ↓, Moran M. ↑,
85', Giron E. ↓, Waterman B. ↑,
85', Ruiz M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
90', Collymore R. ↓, McClean F. ↑,
90', Cooper A. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
Independiente is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Árabe Unido is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Árabe Unido could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Independiente has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 0.9:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Independiente against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Mexico
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Rodriguez A. (C) 
Fori D. 
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