Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Las Vegas Lights		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.35
	2.13	3.3	3.6
	2.1	3.29	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.14	3.13	3.54	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.38)	3.14 ↑ (2.98)	3.45 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
43.8%

Draw
29.4%

Monterey Bay
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Lights's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Monterey Bay will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Mazzola J. (G) 6. Sessock N. 33. Guillen A. 3. Jones N. 81. Antonoglou T. 27. Probo G. 7. Mines B. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. 14. Rodriguez J. 9. Arteaga M.	1. Delgado F. (C) 6. Malesevic L. 32. Farnsworth Z. 25. Egwu K. 3. Ritchie S. 22. Garcia J. 14. Nakamura R. 88. Lletget S. 4. Ross N. 20. Paul I. 9. Bidois R.
Substitutes
2. Forbes J. 13. Lanphier C. (G) 17. Leal M. 30. Ofeimu B. 21. Pickering N. 20. Smart S. 23. Ybarra M.	18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 31. Dalton C. (G) 41. Klein J. 11. Leggett W. 8. Lomtadze G. 2. Talabi A.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Stewart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Lletget S. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Delgado F. 🟨,
15', Arteaga M. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Sessock N. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
42', Egwu K. 🟨,
45+4', Arteaga M. ↓, Ybarra M. ↑,
45+4', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Bidois R. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
58', Lletget S. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
67', Egwu K. ↓, Talabi A. ↑,
67', Nakamura R. ↓, Belmar J. ↑,
68', Leggett W. 🟨,
71', Ybarra M. 🟨,
73', Garcia J. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
81', Mines B. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
88', Pinzon C. ↓, Ofeimu B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1.

Las Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Monterey Bay - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
21.03.26	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTTL
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
21.03.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Monterey Bay - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.10.25	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	1:1
14.06.25	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	2:0
14.09.24	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	0:0
13.04.24	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:1
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2
10.06.23	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:2
27.09.22	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	4:0

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