Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis)

Referee: Fikar K. (Usa)


	Indy Eleven		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	4.8
	1.46	4.2	5
	1.51	4.61	5.36
	1.51	4.2	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	4.34 ↑ (3.97)	5.13 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
61.1%

Draw
21.1%

New York Red Bulls 2
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Indy will win (votes: 2 - 40%). New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Indy has the most likely position - 8 (13.55%), has project points - 46, has currently - 14, has a good chance of playoffs (53%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (40.66%), has project points - 25, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, small importance 12, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Indy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New York Red Bulls 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Indy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Indy is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Indy to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Indy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Indy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
14.05.22	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Indy Eleven - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Rio Grande Valley - Indy Eleven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
08.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Rio Grande Valley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.10.19	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0
04.09.19	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0
28.04.19	New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven	2:1
05.09.18	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0
27.05.18	New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven	4:1

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