Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Indy Eleven		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.60	1.93
	3.15	3.6	1.98
	3.24	3.99	2.07
	3.12	3.86	2.04	Watch
	3.1	3.95	2.03
	3.38	3.68	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	3.73 ↑ (3.62)	2.01 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
29.2%

Draw
24.8%

Louisville City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

25.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Indy Eleven - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 13. Hafferty J. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 29. Mitrano A. 8. Blake J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 6. Lindley C. 5. O'Brien J. 27. Rendon B. 19. Kizza E.	12. Faundez D. (G) 2. McFadden A. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 5. Dayes B. 6. Duncan Z. 8. Davila T. 3. Morris J. 21. Huerman Q. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 15. Henry-Scott M. 90. Mesanvi L. 22. Omar M. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D.	47. Akale M. 99. Conley C. 27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 23. Gleadle S. 15. Perez E. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Bird S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dayes B. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Adams K. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
60', 2 - 1, Blake J. ⚽, Kizza E. (A),
63', Serrano R. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
68', Hafferty J. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
68', Kizza E. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
69', Adams K. 🟨,
73', Morris J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
80', Rendon B. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
83', Huerman Q. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
83', Duncan Z. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
90+4', Blake J. ↓, Barry H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0.

Indy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Louisville City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Louisville City - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.39%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
15.08.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	San Antonio - Indy Eleven	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
15.08.26	Orange County SC - Louisville City	2:3 ✺
USL Cup
12.08.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
08.08.26	Louisville City - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	5:4 ✺
29.07.26	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
04.10.25	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0
30.08.25	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	1:3
05.10.24	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:2
06.04.24	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	5:3
29.07.23	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0
27.05.23	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	0:1
31.08.22	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:1

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