Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Ingolstadt		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.5	3.8	2	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.98
	3.45	3.55	2.01
	3.65	3.71	2.06
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.45	3.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.64 ↓ (3.78)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
27.1%

Draw
26%

Werder Bremen
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

24.9%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

16.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	28.6%	53.6%

Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Werder will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (14.57%), has project points - 37, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Werder has the most likely position - 1 (22.53%), has project points - 59, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a chance of win league (23%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Werder could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Werder will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 2 Bundesliga
27.08.21	Sandhausen - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
22.08.21	Ingolstadt - Nürnberg	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Darmstadt - Ingolstadt	6:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
09.08.21	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.07.21	Ingolstadt - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLWL
- Werder Bremen
Club Friendly
01.09.21	Werder Bremen - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.21	Werder Bremen - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
21.08.21	Karlsruher - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Werder Bremen - Paderborn	1:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Osnabrück - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.04.17	Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen	2:4
03.12.16	Werder Bremen - Ingolstadt	2:1
Club Friendly
13.08.16	Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen	0:1
German Bundesliga
20.02.16	Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen	2:0
19.09.15	Werder Bremen - Ingolstadt	0:1

Upcoming Matches