Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 32

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Institute FC		Portadown

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.45
	2.4	3.29	2.6
	2.4	3.29	2.6
	2.38	3.6	2.3
	2.35	3.5	2.53
	2.43	3.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 (2.39)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
37.7%

Draw
26.3%

Portadown
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Institute is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Institute won 1.

Recent matches Institute is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portadown is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Institute could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Institute won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Institute won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
09.03.24	Knockbreda - Institute FC	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
03.03.24	Institute FC - Linfield	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
24.02.24	Institute FC - Newington	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Institute FC - Dundela	2:4 ✺
10.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLT
- Portadown
Northern Irish League Cup
10.03.24	Linfield - Portadown	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.24	Portadown - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
24.02.24	Ballinamallard United - Portadown	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Portadown - Newington	0:4 ✺
16.02.24	Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
04.11.23	Institute FC - Portadown	1:0
12.08.23	Portadown - Institute FC	1:0
09.03.18	Portadown - Institute FC	1:1
Northern Irish Premiership
05.01.15	Portadown - Institute FC	2:1
08.11.14	Portadown - Institute FC	4:1
04.10.14	Institute FC - Portadown	0:4

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