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Current Win Probability
Instituto Córdoba 50.4%
Draw 30.5%
San Martín de San Juan 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
29.2%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
28.4%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Instituto Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
5%
10%
Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
Instituto Córdoba will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Roffo M. (G) 2. Franco J. 5. Zalazar N. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 21. Pereyra E. 8. Acevedo J. 14. Mac Allister F. 30. Diaz F. 11. Batallini D. 27. Luna A. 29. Cordero N.
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Caseres R. 29. Lecanda T. 30. Diarte L. 16. Portillo A. 5. Pelaitay N. (C) 49. Gonzalez D. 11. Montagna E. 32. Anselmo F. 25. Toloza F.
Substitutes
25. Albarracin J. 23. Beltran E. 15. Gallardo M. 77. Klimowicz L. 16. Lazaro J. 19. Lodico G. A. 34. Moreyra S. 38. Papaleo J. (G) 22. Puebla D. 31. Requena G. 18. Rodriguez L. 10. Romero S.
14. Adin D. 3. Alvarez L. 20. Burgos E. 15. Cavallaro J. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S. 22. Jaurena S. 26. Lopes H. 37. Menendez J. 24. Pernia E. 8. Tijanovich H. 13. Velazco M. (G)
Coaches
Troglio P.
Romagnoli L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cordero N. 🟨,
18', Batallini D. 🟨,
33', Toloza F. 🟨,
45+1', Acevedo J. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cordero N. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
49', Batallini D. ↓, Lazaro J. ↑,
52', Pelaitay N. 🟨,
61', Pelaitay N. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
61', Montagna E. ↓, Tijanovich H. ↑,
66', Romero S. 🟨,
66', Diaz F. ↓, Lodico G. A. ↑,
78', Anselmo F. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
81', Lecanda T. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Zalazar N. ⚽, Luna A. (A),
88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
89', Portillo A. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
90', Luna A. 🟨,
90+1', Molina A. 🟨,
90+2', Tijanovich H. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 3.
Instituto has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches San Martín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Instituto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently San Martín have a series of home games.
In this match Instituto is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Instituto won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.3:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).
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Roffo M. (G) 
Franco J. 
Beltran E. 
Pernia E. 
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