Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Inter Milan		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	11
	1.26	6	11
	1.26	6.2	12.5	Watch
	1.27	6.25	11.52
	1.26	6.25	11.52
	1.25	6	11
	1.26	6.1	11.5
	1.28	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)	6.1 ↑ (5.3)	11.38 ↑ (9.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
75.9%

Draw
15.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

17.9%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.5%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5.7%	6.8%

Inter Milan - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (77 of 88 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.59% – 94.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 16. Frattesi D. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 30. Carlos Augusto 10. Martinez La. (C) 70. Sanchez A.	24. Schlager A. (G) 70. Dedic A. 22. Solet O. 31. Pavlovic S. 17. Ulmer A. (C) 10. Sucic L. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Kjaergaard M. 30. Gloukh O. 23. Simic R.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 21. Asllani K. 77. Audero E. (G) 23. Barella N. 31. Bisseck Y. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 14. Klaassen D. 9. Thuram M.	6. Baidoo S. 7. Capaldo N. 15. Diambou M. 32. Forson A. 19. Konate K. 41. Krumrey J. (G) 1. Mantl N. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 45. Nene D. 21. Ratkov P.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Struber G.

Preview

Inter is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Salzburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Inter is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Arnautovic M. (Thigh Injury) Cuadrado J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Fernando (Muscle Injury) Koita S. (Muscle Injury) Omoregie J. (Back Injury) Piatkowski K. (Calf Injury) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury) Wallner L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Guindo D. (Knee Injury) Okoh B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Inter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
21.10.23	Torino - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
07.10.23	Inter Milan - Bologna	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Inter Milan - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.09.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
21.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg - LASK Linz	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
30.09.23	Austria Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.09.23	Austria Salzburg - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Inter Milan	3:4
07.12.22	Inter Milan - Red Bull Salzburg	4:0

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