Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 7

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:45	beIN Sports
Belgium	20:45	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport
Brazil	15:45	ESPN
Bulgaria	21:45	Ring
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Sport
Finland	21:45	CMore, CMore Sport
France	20:45	beIN Sports
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	TNT Sports
International	18:45	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Salernitana		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.75	4.75	1.4
	7.8	4.9	1.39	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.42
	8.13	5.06	1.41
	8	5	1.36
	8.2	5.05	1.38	Watch
	7.6	5	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.94 ↑ (6.02)	4.91 ↑ (4.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: fubo Sports Network 3 DRM (Canada)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salernitana
12.1%

Draw
19.5%

Inter Milan
68.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

20.7%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	7.7%	83.1%

Salernitana - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (54 of 65 users predict this - 83.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.97% – 92.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 23. Gyomber N. (C) 66. Lovato M. 20. Kastanos G. 99. Legowski M. 8. Bohinen E. 7. Martegani A. 3. Bradaric D. 10. Dia B. 21. Jovane	1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 15. Acerbi F. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. (C) 20. Calhanoglu H. 14. Klaassen D. 30. Carlos Augusto 9. Thuram M. 70. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 17. Fazio F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 25. Maggiore G. 30. Mazzocchi P. 98. Pirola L. 6. Sambia J. 36. Sfait A. 19. Stewart T. 33. Tchaouna L.	42. Agoume L. 21. Asllani K. 77. Audero E. (G) 95. Bastoni A. 31. Bisseck Y. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez La. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 49. Sarr A. M. 50. Stankovic A.
Coaches
Sousa P.	Inzaghi S.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Salernitana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Inter is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inter is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Coulibaly L. (Injury) Ikwuemesi C. (Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Arnautovic M. (Thigh Injury) Frattesi D. (Muscle Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salernitana: Candreva A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Cuadrado J. (Heel Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie A
27.09.23	Empoli - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
18.09.23	Salernitana - Torino	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Lecce - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
27.09.23	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Real Sociedad - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1 ✺
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.04.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	1:1
16.10.22	Inter Milan - Salernitana	2:0
04.03.22	Inter Milan - Salernitana	5:0
17.12.21	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:5

Upcoming Matches