Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Canale 5, Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Inter Milan		Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5
	1.63	4.1	4.8
	1.62	4.35	5.2	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.66	4.29	5.23
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.6	4.35	5.3
	1.65	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)	4.25 ↑ (3.76)	5.09 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
58.7%

Draw
22.5%

Benfica
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

24.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Milan's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.8%	7.5%	6.7%

Inter Milan - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (115 of 134 users predict this - 85.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 91.73%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 10. Martinez La. (C)	1. Trubin A. (G) 6. Bah A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 5. Morato 14. Bernat J. 87. Neves J. 10. Kokcu O. 11. Di Maria A. 8. Aursnes F. 27. Rafa Silva 7. David Neres
Substitutes
21. Asllani K. 77. Audero E. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 30. Carlos Augusto 7. Cuadrado J. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 14. Klaassen D. 70. Sanchez A. 49. Sarr A. M.	44. Araujo T. 9. Cabral A. 22. Chiquinho 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 17. Guedes G. 20. Joao Mario 13. Jurasek D. 45. Kokubo L. (G) 33. Musa P. 24. Soares S. (G) 19. Tengstedt C.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Schmidt R.

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inter is a favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Arnautovic M. (Thigh Injury) Frattesi D. (Muscle Injury) Sensi S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Benfica: Antonio Silva (Red Card) Joao Victor (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Inter: Cuadrado J. (Heel Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Inter won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
30.09.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Real Sociedad - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWTW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
29.09.23	Benfica - Porto	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Portimonense - Benfica	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.09.23	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.04.23	Inter Milan - Benfica	3:3
11.04.23	Benfica - Inter Milan	0:2

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