Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Red Bull Salzburg		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.45
	2.9	3.2	2.5
	2.92	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.55
	3	3.28	2.6
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	2.98	3.28	2.48
	2.95	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	2.52 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
32.8%

Draw
29.2%

Real Sociedad
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.9%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	41.2%	23.5%

Red Bull Salzburg - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 57.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schlager A. (G) 70. Dedic A. (C) 22. Solet O. 31. Pavlovic S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 30. Gloukh O. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Kjaergaard M. 23. Simic R. 19. Konate K.	1. Remiro A. (G) 3. Munoz A. 24. Le Normand R. 5. Zubeldia I. 18. Traore H. 7. Barrenetxea A. 4. Zubimendi M. 8. Merino M. 23. Mendez B. 14. Kubo T. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
6. Baidoo S. 7. Capaldo N. 15. Diambou M. 32. Forson A. 8. Kameri D. 41. Krumrey J. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 45. Nene D. 4. Piatkowski K. 21. Ratkov P. 10. Sucic L. 17. Ulmer A.	21. Andre Silva 11. Cho M. 6. Elustondo A. 9. Fernandez C. 37. Fraga A. (G) 26. Gonzalez U. 32. Marrero U. (G) 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B. 12. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Struber G.	Alguacil I.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Salzburg have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Salzburg: Diambou M. (Arm Injury) Guindo D. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Odriozola A. (Injury) Tierney K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Fernando (Muscle Injury) Okoh B. (Muscle Injury) Wallner L. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
30.09.23	Austria Lustenau - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.09.23	Austria Salzburg - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.09.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Benfica - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.09.23	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
30.09.23	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
27.09.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Real Sociedad - Getafe	4:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Real Sociedad - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.02.18	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Sociedad	2:1
15.02.18	Real Sociedad - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2

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