Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sciolti G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Inter U23		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.12	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.20	3.35	3.35
	2.2	3.3	3.03	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.30
	2.15	3.15	3.06	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.51)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter U23
42.3%

Draw
28.6%

Sorrento
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter U23's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorrento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Inter U23 - Sorrento Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Inter U23 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 15. Stante F. 19. Prestia G. (C) 5. Tosto L. 2. Avitabile T. 7. Kaczmarski I. 14. Bovo L. 3. Marello M. 11. Zuberek J. 29. Mancuso M. 45. Lavelli M.	22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Fusco F. (C) 2. Puzone M. 21. Potenza A. 8. Cuccurullo M. 28. Capezzi L. 3. Crecco L. 10. Ricci F. 9. Parker S.
Substitutes
27. Aidoo M. 77. Amerighi I. 4. Cerpelletti F. 6. Charlys 23. Donato A. 8. Fiordilino L. 99. Fumagalli T. 80. Garonetti G. 9. Iddrissou J. 86. Jakirovic L. 95. Raimondi P. (G) 24. Re Cecconi G. 37. Sorino D. 22. Taho A. (G) 16. Venturini M.	4. Bacci J. 20. Bernabeo S. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 99. Marchesi F. 32. Paglino S. 7. Starita E.
Coaches
Vecchi S.	Maiuri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cargnelutti R. ↓, Di Somma V. ↑,
52', Stante F. 🟨,
60', Lavelli M. ↓, Iddrissou J. ↑,
60', Bovo L. ↓, Fiordilino L. ↑,
60', Avitabile T. ↓, Amerighi I. ↑,
66', Potenza A. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
66', Ricci F. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Starita E. ⚽, Capezzi L. (A),
72', Mancuso M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
76', Di Somma V. 🟨,
82', Stante F. ↓, Charlys ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Zuberek J. ⚽,
88', Parker S. 🟨,
89', Zuberek J. 🟨,
90+1', Puzone M. ↓, Evangelisti N. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals)).

In recent outings, Inter U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sorrento has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sorrento could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Inter U23 holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	11	6	2	3	15:11	4	20
11	Inter U23	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Inter U23 - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Sorrento - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.26	Inter U23 - Monopoli	2:4 ✺
13.10.26	Giugliano - Inter U23	0:4 ✺
10.10.26	Savoia - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Inter U23 - Foggia	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Crotone - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWW
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.26	Sorrento - Casertana	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Scafatese - Sorrento	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Sorrento - Casarano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sorrento - Bari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLL

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