Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	Inter U23		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.15
	1.82	3.39	4.09	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.8	3.2	4.29	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.9)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	4.17 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter U23
50.3%

Draw
27.9%

Virtus Verona
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Inter U23 - Virtus Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Calligaris A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 19. Prestia G. 5. Alexiou C. 10. Kamate I. 14. Bovo L. 8. Fiordilino L. 44. Berenbruch T. 43. Cocchi M. 90. Lavelli M. 20. La Gumina A.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 29. Saiani F. 95. Munaretti L. 23. Toffanin F. 6. Daffara M. 28. Patane N. 10. Zarpellon L. 30. Gatti C. 75. Bassi M. 11. Mastour H. 18. Cernigoi I.
Substitutes
11. Agbonifo R. 39. Bovio L. 25. David A. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 12. Raimondi P. (G) 7. Spinacce M. 15. Stante F. 9. Topalovic L. 4. Zanchetta M. 21. Zouin A. 35. Zuberek J.	7. Amadio M. 47. Cuel E. 14. Di Virgilio M. 99. Fabbro M. 5. Fanini F. 20. Fiorin G. 38. Ingrosso G. 74. Lerco S. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 90. Odogwu C. 44. Pagliuca M. . Puce Raffaele 12. Scardigno N. (G) 22. Sibi S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Bovo L. 🟨,
45+2', Daffara M. 🟨,
45+9', Bassi M. 🟨,
45+10', 1 - 0, La Gumina A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bovo L. ↓, Kaczmarski I. ↑,
46', Saiani F. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
52', Zarpellon L. 🟨,
62', Alexiou C. 🟨,
67', Lavelli M. ↓, Spinacce M. ↑,
67', Berenbruch T. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
67', Daffara M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
71', Munaretti L. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
71', Cernigoi I. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
80', La Gumina A. ↓, Zuberek J. ↑,
82', Gatti C. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
88', Fiordilino L. ↓, Zanchetta M. ↑,
89', Toffanin F. 🟨,
90+3', Fabbro M. 🟨,
90+3', Topalovic L. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Virtus Verona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter U23 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.26	Pro Patria - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Inter U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Brescia - Inter U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Inter U23 - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Inter U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLLT
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cittadella - Virtus Verona	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.25	Virtus Verona - Inter U23	1:2

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