Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Alcione		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.55
	2.04	3.15	3.98
	1.96	3.22	3.77	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	2.02	3.02	3.63	Watch
	2.05	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.76 (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
45.5%

Draw
30%

Virtus Verona
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Alcione - Virtus Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Virtus Verona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 73. Scuderi G. 8. Muroni M. 23. Galli G. 33. Invernizzi A. 10. Pitou J. 11. Morselli F. 31. Marconi M.	22. Sibi S. (G) 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 29. Saiani F. 10. Zarpellon L. 20. Fiorin G. 7. Amadio M. 5. Fanini F. 75. Bassi M. 9. De Marchi M. 99. Fabbro M.
Substitutes
94. Bertolotti F. 70. Bright K. 1. Cecchini F. (G) 81. Gallazzi F. 65. Giorgeschi S. 16. Lanzi J. 5. Miculi A. 12. Moroni R. (G) 21. Olivieri D. 7. Renault G. 29. Samele L.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 80. Bulevardi D. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 30. Gatti C. 74. Lerco S. 4. Lodovici R. 21. Muhameti E. 90. Odogwu C. 44. Pagliuca M. 12. Scardigno N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Invernizzi A. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
58', Morselli F. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
59', Muroni M. ↓, Bright K. ↑,
60', De Marchi M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Pagliuca M. ⚽,
75', Fabbro M. ↓, Odogwu C. ↑,
76', Zarpellon L. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
84', Fiorin G. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
85', Amadio M. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
88', Alfonso E. 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Alcione has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Verona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alcione will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	Lecco - Alcione	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Alcione - Trento	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Alcione	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brescia - Alcione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLLW
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ospitaletto - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.01.25	Virtus Verona - Alcione	1:0
30.08.24	Alcione - Virtus Verona	0:0

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