Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)


	Inter de Barinas		Caracas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	4.05	3.36	1.86
	4.14	3.52	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	4.01	3.4	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter de Barinas
23.3%

Draw
26.7%

Caracas
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.5%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.3%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Inter de Barinas - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Curiel L. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 24. Osorio J. 26. Deusa J. 21. Da Silva J. 15. Livingstone A. 3. Urdaneta A. 17. Magallan C. 9. Ortiz K. 18. Doldan J. 13. Martinez C.	1. Farinez W. (G) 30. Casiani L. 4. Rodriguez B. 6. Quijada R. 16. Aguilar D. 8. Juanpi 15. Heraldez L. 21. Rodriguez V. 14. Echenique E. 11. Pernia E. 99. Rose E.
Substitutes
22. Forero L. (G) 29. Leonardy D. 34. Mosquera L. 7. Perez J. 31. Pernia M. 32. Pimienta C. 8. Ramirez P. 16. Rangel J. 30. Rivas J. 23. Ruiz M. 35. Urbina L. 2. Valladares I.	12. Benitez F. (G) 10. Contreras A. 33. Correa W. 24. Jimenez N. 2. La Mantia F. 7. Perez D. 17. Reinoso L. 18. Rivas A. 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Romero A.	Aristeguieta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Pernia E. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Echenique E. ⚽, Aguilar D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez B. ↓, La Mantia F. ↑,
47', Doldan J. 🟨,
57', Magallan C. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
64', Urdaneta A. ↓, Pernia M. ↑,
64', Gonzalez G. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
67', Rose E. ↓, Rivas A. ↑,
73', Da Silva J. 🟨,
75', Casiani L. 🟨,
77', Echenique E. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
78', Pernia E. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
84', Ortiz K. ↓, Leonardy D. ↑,
84', Da Silva J. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
85', Juanpi ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Leonardy D. ⚽,
90+4', Ruiz M. (Pen),
90+5', Pernia M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Inter de Barinas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caracas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caracas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caracas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caracas to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Inter de Barinas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.09.24	Deportivo Táchira - Inter de Barinas	4:1 ✺
14.09.24	Inter de Barinas - Rayo Zuliano	0:1 ✺
04.09.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Inter de Barinas	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Inter de Barinas - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Inter de Barinas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.09.24	Caracas - Monagas	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Angostura - Caracas	0:0 ✺
04.09.24	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Caracas - Zamora	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
30.03.24	Caracas - Inter de Barinas	1:2

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