The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 37%
Draw 30.7%
Deportivo Táchira 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
30.2%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
30.6%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-2%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 33. Hernandez N. 24. Ortiz G. 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 10. Castellanos J. 13. Ibarra R. (C) 8. Perdomo J. 23. Herrera J. 9. Uribe A. 36. Londono F.
1. Araque A. (G) 88. Alfonzo D. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 2. Sanchez J. 25. Perez A. 24. Caraballo J. 10. Sosa C. 27. Zuniga L. 11. Woiski A. 9. Pollero R.
Substitutes
27. Correa J. 15. Gonzalez M. 37. Gonzalez M. 43. Martinez J. 16. Martinez L. 7. Meza J. 51. Pomozy H. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 67. Vargas G. 46. Vegas S. 28. Villero M.
21. Adamo V. 37. Duarte Arias J. D. 23. Hernandez O. 3. Lusnig L. 31. Mendez C. 14. Palmezano B. 7. Penaranda A. 45. Provenzano F. 70. Ramirez H. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 41. Wilches W.
Coaches
Bidoglio H.
Recoba A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Pollero R. ⚽, Sosa C. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Sosa C. ⚽, Woiski A. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Castellanos J. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 3, Pollero R. ⚽,
43', Uribe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Uribe A. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
46', Orihuela M. ↓, Villero M. ↑,
46', Perdomo J. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
46', Ibarra R. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
58', Herrera J. 🟨,
65', Meza J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 3, Londono F. ⚽, Villero M. (A),
70', Pollero R. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
71', Sanchez J. ↓, Lusnig L. ↑,
71', Caraballo J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
72', Zuniga L. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
73', Alfonzo D. 🟨,
74', Perez A. 🟨,
78', 2 - 4, Woiski A. ⚽, Sosa C. (A),
81', Woiski A. ↓, Ramirez H. ↑,
88', Hernandez N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
90+2', Ortiz G. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 3.
Deportivo La Guaira is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo Táchira has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:27 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo La Guaira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:3 goals (averaging 1.1:0.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Tachira
11
7
2
2
24:14
10
23
6
La Guaira
11
5
1
5
21:16
5
16
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.17%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Varela C. (G) 
Ortiz G. 
Herrera J. 
Fratta G. 
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