Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Arteaga A. (Ven)


	Inter de Barinas		Monagas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.16	3.1	2.31
	3.16	3.05	2.31
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.18	2.28	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.4)	3.13 ↓ (3.14)	2.24 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter de Barinas
29.8%

Draw
29.3%

Monagas
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter de Barinas's form might have worsened.

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter de Barinas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Inter de Barinas - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Inter de Barinas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Monagas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Forero A. (G) 23. Ruiz M. 25. Muriel J. 26. Deusa J. 21. Da Silva J. 17. Magallan C. 28. Alvarado J. 3. Urdaneta A. 10. Gomez D. 13. Martinez C. 8. Zapata J. (C)	25. Olivera B. (G) 2. Cabrera R. 14. Rodriguez C. 3. Acosta M. 19. Gonzalez O. (C) 15. Larotonda C. 8. Romero A. 20. Murillo J. 18. Caraballo J. 39. Rodriguez R. 9. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
12. Avellaneda S. (G) 20. Bolivar D. 11. Cabezas A. 14. Colmenarez G. 34. Mosquera L. 9. Osorio A. 24. Osorio J. 5. Presilla Maffei F. J. 30. Rivas J. 6. Rodriguez D. 18. Rojas D. 2. Valladares I.	7. Basante F. 26. Castillo D. 98. Figueroa F. 24. Garcia H. 12. Herrera E. (G) 6. Iriarte R. 29. Linarez D. 13. Pernia H. 27. Rivera J.
Coaches
Vielma L.	Perozo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
35', Romero A. 🟨,
45+2', Muriel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez D. 🟨,
47', 1 - 0, Da Silva J. ⚽, Urdaneta A. (A),
56', Rodriguez R. ↓, Basante F. ↑,
56', Murillo J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
61', Martinez C. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
76', Urdaneta A. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
76', Magallan C. ↓, Bolivar D. ↑,
79', Basante F. 🟨,
79', Romero A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
80', Caraballo J. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
84', Gomez D. ↓, Valladares I. ↑,
84', Osorio A. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Inter de Barinas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Monagas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monagas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.04.24	Angostura - Inter de Barinas	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Inter de Barinas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Caracas - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Rayo Zuliano - Inter de Barinas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWTW
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.24	Monagas - Zamora	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Monagas - Angostura	4:2 ✺
31.03.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	2:2 ✺
24.03.24	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTTL

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