Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Doce de Octubre (Tulua) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)


	Internacional de Palmira		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.35	3	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.23
	3.41	3.35	2.27
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.25	3.13	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.8)	3.17 ↑ (2.85)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
28.9%

Draw
29.3%

Deportes Tolima
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

32.2%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

31.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional de Palmira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	20.8%	66.7%

Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Inter Palmira will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 0.

Cortuluá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportes Tolima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportes Tolima will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cortuluá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera A
11.10.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Internacional de Palmira - Once Caldas	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Deportivo Pasto - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Internacional de Palmira - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLW
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
13.10.22	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira	1:3 ✺
21.09.22	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.09.22	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	0:0
30.04.22	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	3:2
07.03.22	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima	1:3
21.08.17	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	2:0
11.03.17	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima	2:2
13.09.16	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	0:2
09.04.16	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
03.11.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima	✺

Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Tolima