The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ionikos Nikaias 8.8%
Draw 20.9%
Panathinaikos 70.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
24%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.8%
24%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ionikos Nikaias's form might have worsened.
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panathinaikos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ionikos Nikaias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panathinaikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.5%
4.3%
87.2%
Ionikos Nikaias - Panathinaikos Predictions
Users Predictions:
Panathinaikos will win
(41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.69% โ 96.77%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group)).
Ionikos has the most likely position - 14 (17.41%), has project points - 31, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Panathinaikos has the most likely position - 1 (62.99%), has project points - 78, has currently - 37, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (85%), has a good chance of win league (63%).
This event has quality33, importance57, match rating45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Ionikos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Panathinaikos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ionikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Panathinaikos is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Serbia
Slovenia
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