Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.1	3.75	2.1
	3.2	3.65	2.25	Watch
	3.28	3.63	2.25
	3.19	3.72	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.15
	3.25	3.65	2.23	Watch
	3.2	3.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
30.3%

Draw
26.2%

West Ham United
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	16.1%	58.1%

Ipswich Town - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). West Ham will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 2 - 40%). West Ham (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 11 - 78.6%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Ipswich (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Ipswich (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 4 - 50%). West Ham (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Palmer A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 26. O'Shea D. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 20. Hutchinson O. 10. Chaplin C. 33. Broadhead N. 27. Hirst G.	1. Fabianski L. (G) 25. Todibo J. 26. Kilman M. 15. Mavropanos K. 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 19. Alvarez E. 57. Scarles O. 28. Soucek T. 20. Bowen J. (C) 11. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
48. Boniface S. 15. Burgess C. 47. Clarke J. 19. Delap L. 25. Luongo M. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L.	23. Areola A. (G) 5. Coufal V. 3. Cresswell A. 18. Ings D. 39. Irving A. 14. Kudus M. 10. Lucas Paqueta 17. Luis Guilherme 24. Rodriguez G.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Potter G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Kilman M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ward-Prowse J. ⚽, Bowen J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Broadhead N. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Bowen J. ⚽, Wan-Bissaka A. (A),
70', Hirst G. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
70', Chaplin C. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
72', Scarles O. ↓, Coufal V. ↑,
73', Fullkrug N. ↓, Kudus M. ↑,
78', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
78', Broadhead N. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
80', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
80', Alvarez E. ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
81', Delap L. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Kudus M. ⚽, Rodriguez G. (A),
88', Morsy S. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
90+1', Todibo J. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).

Ipswich is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 0.

Ipswich is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

West Ham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ipswich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

West Ham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Muric A. (Shoulder Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Phillips K. (Calf Injury) Philogene J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Antonio M. (Broken Leg) Summerville C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Burgess C. (Hamstring Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Townsend C. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
18.05.25	Leicester City - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ipswich Town - Brentford	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Everton - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Newcastle United - Ipswich Town	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL
- West Ham United
English Premier League
18.05.25	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
19.04.25	West Ham United - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.10.24	West Ham United - Ipswich Town	4:1
Club Friendly
12.07.22	Ipswich Town - West Ham United	1:2
25.08.20	Ipswich Town - West Ham United	1:4
28.07.18	Ipswich Town - West Ham United	1:2
16.07.14	Ipswich Town - West Ham United	0:0
04.08.12	Ipswich Town - West Ham United	N/A

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