Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	West Ham United		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.35
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	2.92	3.4	2.45
	2.96	3.53	2.44	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	3.04	3.48	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)	3.42 ↓ (3.58)	2.4 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
32.4%

Draw
27.9%

Nottingham Forest
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.9%	12.8%	38.3%

West Ham United - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 23 - 50%). Nottingham will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 35.6% – 64.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nottingham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - West Ham (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - West Ham (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Nottingham (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.39) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 25. Todibo J. 15. Mavropanos K. 30. Scarles O. 18. Fernandes M. 28. Soucek T. 20. Bowen J. (C) 10. Lucas Paqueta 7. Summerville C. 11. Castellanos T.	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 8. Anderson E. 16. Dominguez N. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
40. Earthy G. 1. Hermansen M. (G) 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 27. Magassa S. 63. Mayers E. 19. Pablo 32. Potts F. 24. Rodriguez G.	44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 12. Douglas Luiz 18. Gunn A. (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 37. Savona N.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Murillo (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hutchinson O. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Dominguez N. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
61', Todibo J. 🟨,
63', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Pablo ↑,
63', Scarles O. ↓, Mayers E. ↑,
70', Espirito Santo N. 🟨,
80', Fernandes M. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Gibbs-White M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Bakwa D. ↓, Morato ↑,
90+4', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
90+6', Mavropanos K. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 2.

West Ham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nottingham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nottingham might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in West Ham: Diouf M. (International duty) Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Wan-Bissaka A. (International duty)

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (International duty) John Victor (Injury) Sangare I. (International duty) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Yates R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Lucas Paqueta (Back Injury) Todibo J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Hudson-Odoi C. (Knock) Ndoye D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, West Ham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, West Ham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Nottingham Forest - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Manchester City - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3
18.05.25	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2
02.11.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	3:0
17.02.24	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	2:0
12.11.23	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	3:2
25.02.23	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	4:0
14.08.22	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	1:0

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