Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: London Stadium (London)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 10
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 4
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	True Sport 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus
World	Disney+


	West Ham United		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5
	1.51	4.4	6
	1.62	4.35	5.4	Watch
	1.64	4.34	5.26
	1.61	4.35	5.41	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.8
	1.59	4.45	5.61	Watch
	1.62	4.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	4.33 ↑ (4.28)	5.49 ↓ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

West Ham United
60.3%

Draw
22.2%

Southampton
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

16.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with West Ham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southampton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	5.3%	10.5%

West Ham United - Southampton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - S`hampton (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - S`hampton (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: West Ham United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Ham United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 6 - 60%). S`hampton (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Areola A. (G) 5. Coufal V. 25. Todibo J. 26. Kilman M. 33. Emerson 4. Soler C. 8. Ward-Prowse J. 20. Bowen J. (C) 10. Lucas Paqueta 14. Kudus M. 11. Fullkrug N.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 2. Walker-Peters K. 4. Downes F. 26. Ugochukwu L. 18. Fernandes M. 3. Manning R. 32. Onuachu P. 20. Sulemana K.
Substitutes
3. Cresswell A. 1. Fabianski L. (G) 34. Ferguson E. 39. Irving A. 17. Luis Guilherme 15. Mavropanos K. 24. Rodriguez G. 57. Scarles O. 28. Soucek T.	19. Archer C. 7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 33. Dibling T. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 8. Smallbone W. 11. Stewart R. 34. Welington 15. Wood N.
Coaches
Potter G.	Rusk S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Coufal V. 🟨,
35', Onuachu P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Bowen J. ⚽, Fullkrug N. (A),
69', Onuachu P. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
74', Sulemana K. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
75', Kudus M. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
80', Fullkrug N. ↓, Soucek T. ↑,
80', Emerson ↓, Scarles O. ↑,
83', Kilman M. 🟨,
85', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
85', Harwood-Bellis T. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
86', Bowen J. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
86', Ward-Prowse J. ↓, Mavropanos K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ugochukwu L. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

S`hampton is Relegated to Championship

Last 5 head-to-head matches West Ham won 2.

West Ham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

S`hampton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match West Ham is a favorite.

There will not play in West Ham: Antonio M. (Inactive) Summerville C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Gronbaek A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Onuachu P. (Ankle Injury) Taylor C. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches West Ham won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:21 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams West Ham won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:11 (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
13.04.25	Liverpool - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	West Ham United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
01.04.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	West Ham United - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
12.04.25	Southampton - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Southampton	3:1 ✺
02.04.25	Southampton - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.12.24	Southampton - West Ham United	0:1
02.04.23	West Ham United - Southampton	1:0
16.10.22	Southampton - West Ham United	1:1
English FA Cup
02.03.22	Southampton - West Ham United	3:1
English Premier League
26.12.21	West Ham United - Southampton	2:3
11.09.21	Southampton - West Ham United	0:0
23.05.21	West Ham United - Southampton	3:0

Upcoming Matches