Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ipswich Town		Brentford

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.53
	5.5	4.33	1.57
	5.6	4.85	1.55	Watch
	5.64	4.77	1.54
	5.66	4.79	1.54	Watch
	5	4.2	1.6
	5.7	4.89	1.55	Watch
	5.6	4.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (4.38)	4.65 ↑ (4.15)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
17.4%

Draw
20.7%

Brentford
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.2%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

22.9%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.6%	10.8%	84.6%

Ipswich Town - Brentford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Brentford (1.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Ipswich (2.52) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Ipswich (2.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (53 of 63 users predict this - 84.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.11% – 93.15%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Brentford (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Palmer A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 24. Greaves J. 5. Morsy S. (C) 14. Taylor J. 20. Hutchinson O. 10. Chaplin C. 9. Enciso J. 19. Delap L.	1. Flekken M. (G) 33. Kayode M. 22. Collins N. 4. van den Berg S. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 6. Norgaard C. (C) 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 19. Mbeumo B. 24. Damsgaard M. 7. Schade K. 11. Wissa Y.
Substitutes
48. Boniface S. 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 44. Godfrey B. 27. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 25. Luongo M. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L.	39. Gustavo Nunes 3. Henry R. 8. Jensen M. 26. Konak Y. E. 32. Maghoma P. 16. Mee B. 5. Pinnock E. 9. Thiago I. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
McKenna K.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Norgaard C. 🟨,
17', Taylor J. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Schade K. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Chaplin C. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
62', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
62', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
70', Wissa Y. 🟨,
73', Schade K. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
83', Kayode M. 🟨,
83', Hirst G. 🟨,
86', Damsgaard M. ↓, Thiago I. ↑,
86', Tuanzebe A. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
90+2', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
90+4', Wissa Y. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 9).

Ipswich is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 1.

Ipswich is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brentford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Brentford is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Davis L. (Red Card) Muric A. (Shoulder Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Philogene J. (Knee Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury) Townsend C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Shoulder Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Hickey A. (Hamstring Injury) Janelt V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Broadhead N. (Thigh Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
03.05.25	Everton - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Newcastle United - Ipswich Town	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Chelsea - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLTL
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
04.05.25	Brentford - Manchester United	4:3 ✺
01.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
12.04.25	Arsenal - Brentford	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Brentford - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
26.10.24	Brentford - Ipswich Town	4:3
English League Championship
10.04.19	Brentford - Ipswich Town	2:0
18.09.18	Ipswich Town - Brentford	1:1
07.04.18	Brentford - Ipswich Town	1:0
19.08.17	Ipswich Town - Brentford	2:0
04.03.17	Ipswich Town - Brentford	1:1
13.08.16	Brentford - Ipswich Town	2:0

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