Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Newcastle United		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.17	8	15
	1.19	7.5	13
	1.14	9.6	21
	1.19	8.5	17.5
	1.17	8.42	16.87	Watch
	1.17	7.5	15
	1.16	9.1	19.5	Watch
	1.14	9.6	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.26)	8.53 ↑ (6.42)	17.36 ↑ (11.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
83.1%

Draw
11.4%

Ipswich Town
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

15%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10.4%	14.6%

Newcastle United - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Ipswich (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Newcastle (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ipswich (4.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Ipswich (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 33. Burn D. 21. Livramento V. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 28. Willock J. 23. Murphy J. 14. Isak A. 11. Barnes H.	31. Palmer A. (G) 26. O'Shea D. 6. Woolfenden L. 15. Burgess C. 24. Greaves J. 18. Johnson B. 5. Morsy S. (C) 14. Taylor J. 47. Clarke J. 9. Enciso J. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
4. Botman S. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 10. Gordon A. 17. Krafth E. 36. Longstaff S. 67. Miley L. 18. Osula W. 26. Ruddy J. (G) 9. Wilson C.	48. Boniface S. 12. Cajuste J. 10. Chaplin C. 44. Godfrey B. 27. Hirst G. 20. Hutchinson O. 25. Luongo M. 49. Taylor T. 28. Walton C. (G)
Coaches
Howe E.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Johnson B. 🟨,
37', Johnson B. 🟨,
40', Clarke J. ↓, Godfrey B. ↑,
44', Burn D. 🟨,
44', Delap L. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Isak A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Burn D. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
63', Greaves J. 🟨,
67', Murphy J. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
67', Willock J. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
71', Enciso J. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
71', Delap L. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
77', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
77', Barnes H. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Osula W. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
83', Schar F. ↓, Botman S. ↑,
86', Taylor J. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ipswich is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.

There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Davis L. (Red Card) Hutchinson O. (Hamstring Injury) Muric A. (Shoulder Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Phillips K. (Injury) Philogene J. (Knee Injury) Szmodics S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Broadhead N. (Thigh Injury) Townsend C. (Thigh Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
19.04.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
16.04.25	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Newcastle United - Manchester United	4:1 ✺
07.04.25	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
02.04.25	Newcastle United - Brentford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
20.04.25	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Chelsea - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
21.12.24	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	0:4
English League Championship
17.04.17	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	3:1
22.10.16	Newcastle United - Ipswich Town	3:0

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