Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Irapuato		Atlante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.78	3.3	2.32	Watch
	2.95	3.59	2.31
	2.82	3.65	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.85	3.28	2.26
	3	2.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.56)	3.26 ↑ (3.07)	2.29 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Irapuato
31.9%

Draw
28.1%

Atlante
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlante's recent form is better than expected.

Irapuato - Atlante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 32. Castellanos R. 2. Doldan J. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 33. Gonzalez R. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 34. Ruiz J. 16. Sandoval R. 9. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.	1. Barragan R. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 24. Pizzuto E. 9. Puente L. 20. Tovar J.
Substitutes
8. Cruz C. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 27. Martinez G. 22. Munoz G. 11. Partida E. 31. Pena R. 36. Salazar J. 25. Sanchez B. 26. Santillan E.	10. Alonzo J. 26. Beltran R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 7. Garcia M. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 16. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 11. Hernandez I.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Carbajal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Carrera J. N. 🟨,
21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
45+1', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
54', 0 - 1, Puente L. ⚽, Calzadilla L. (A),
55', Rangel J. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
55', Doldan J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
57', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
63', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Jimenez E. (A),
68', Gonzalez R. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Jimenez E. ⚽, Meza H. (A),
74', Salazar J. 🟨,
79', Calzadilla L. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
79', Pizzuto E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
79', Jimenez E. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
89', 0 - 4, Meza H. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
90', Ruiz J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 5, Meza H. ⚽,

Preview

Irapuato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.02.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Irapuato - Dorados	5:0 ✺
07.02.26	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tlaxcala - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Irapuato - Leones Negros UdeG	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLW
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
21.02.26	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Correcaminos UAT - Atlante	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Atlante - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Atlante - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.25	Atlante - Irapuato	4:0
30.01.15	Irapuato - Atlante	0:2
08.08.14	Atlante - Irapuato	2:1

Upcoming Matches