Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Irapuato		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.25	Watch
	1.69	3.84	4.28	Watch
	1.64	3.78	4.46	Watch
	1.68	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	4.33 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
54.6%

Draw
24.2%

Tapatío
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Irapuato aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Irapuato - Tapatío Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (G) 14. de Alba J. 2. Doldan J. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 31. Pena R. 9. Pucheta J. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 34. Ruiz J. 16. Sandoval R.	201. Liceaga J. (G) 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 225. Inda C. 48. Jimenez L. 198. Latorre D. 33. Martinez R. 50. Mendez F. 49. Moragrega V. 69. Villaseca D. 72. Villegas A. 44. Zamora S. (C)
Substitutes
3. Alvarado V. 6. del Angel E. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 22. Munoz G. 4. Rivera M. 25. Sanchez B. 19. Santana C. 26. Santillan E. 23. Zamudio J.	67. Aguayo S. 74. Anaya M. 70. Castro A. 60. Ledesma L. 51. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 62. Tellez B. 59. Torres C. 58. Uribe J.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Ortega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Doldan J. ⚽, Sandoval R. (A),
12', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
23', Elbis 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Moragrega V. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', de Alba J. ↓, Alvarado V. ↑,
56', Zamora S. 🟨,
56', Villaseca D. 🟨,
66', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
66', Inda C. ↓, Ledesma L. ↑,
69', Doldan J. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
69', Gamboa J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
69', Pucheta J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
78', Rodriguez A. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
81', Zamora S. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
81', Jimenez L. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
89', Villaseca D. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In recent matches, Irapuato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tapatío is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Irapuato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.10.25	Atlético La Paz - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Cancún - Irapuato	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Irapuato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTWW
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tapatío - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cancún - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLT

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