Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Gil J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Atlético La Paz		Irapuato

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.78	Watch
	2.67	3.65	2.5
	2.57	3.51	2.43	Watch
	2.39	3.49	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.57)	3.55 ↑ (3.51)	2.61 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
37.9%

Draw
26.3%

Irapuato
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Atlético La Paz - Irapuato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 22. Flores R. 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 15. Torres H. 26. Yanez J. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.	20. Hernandez H. (C) 6. del Angel E. 2. Doldan J. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 9. Pucheta J. 4. Rivera M. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 26. Santillan E.
Substitutes
5. Bass A. 17. Chiu L. 14. Galindo A. 8. Gutierrez L. 19. Jaimes U. 1. Moreno C. (G) 11. Renteria R. 3. Rodriguez G. 132. Sanchez S. 7. Vazquez I.	14. de Alba J. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 22. Munoz G. 35. Perez A. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 19. Santana C. 7. Sosa J. 23. Zamudio J.
Coaches
Castillo H.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Santillan E. 🟨,
2', Doldan J. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽, Yanez J. (A),
28', Rivera M. 🟨,
45+3', Garcia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sanchez B. ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
46', Rivera M. ↓, de Alba J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Garcia G. (Own goal),
56', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
60', Millan O. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Illescas F. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
66', Garcia G. ↓, Bass A. ↑,
66', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
66', Barragan M. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
76', Flores R. 🟨,
77', Alvarez D. ↓, Chiu L. ↑,
80', Pucheta J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
81', Gamboa J. ↓, Santana C. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Santana C. ⚽, de Alba J. (A),
84', Yanez J. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
90+8', Hernandez H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlético La Paz	3:2 ✺
10.10.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Atlético La Paz - Cancún	2:4 ✺
28.09.25	Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz	3:3 ✺
19.09.25	Atlético La Paz - Atlético Morelia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTW
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.10.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Cancún - Irapuato	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Irapuato - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Irapuato	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Irapuato - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWT

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