Match Info

ISRAEL: Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 33

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium (Kiryat Shmona)


	Ironi Kiryat Shmona		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.5
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.61	4.06	4.75
	1.59	3.94	5.02
	1.61	3.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2)	3.88 ↑ (3.37)	4.7 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Kiryat Shmona
57.1%

Draw
23.5%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ironi Kiryat Shmona's performance.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Nof HaGalil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ironi Kiryat Shmona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Nof HaGalil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Mizan B. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Sever L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ironi Kiryat Shmona won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ironi Kiryat Shmona is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ironi Kiryat Shmona won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ironi Kiryat Shmona won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Israeli Liga Leumit
26.04.24	Bnei Yehuda - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:0 ✺
08.04.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
02.04.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWL
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli State Cup
30.04.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
26.04.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Herzliya	5:0 ✺
19.04.24	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:3 ✺
12.04.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
02.04.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.02.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1
28.09.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
08.05.22	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0
08.01.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:6
25.09.21	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0
Israeli Toto Cup
03.08.21	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1

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