Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez (Metapán)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Isidro Metapán		Atlético Balboa

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.20	5.75
	1.47	3.95	5.50
	1.42	4.45	6.12
	1.46	4.39	6.4	Watch
	1.40	4.05	5.75
	1.53	4.43	5.27	Watch
	1.42	4.00	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.21 ↑ (3.65)	5.83 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isidro Metapán
62.8%

Draw
21.6%

Atlético Balboa
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isidro Metapán's performance.

Atlético Balboa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Isidro Metapán - Atlético Balboa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Isidro Metapán (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
66', 1 - 0, Metapan I. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Metapan I. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Haberkorn F. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Tobar Y. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Diaz J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 10th).

Isidro Metapán has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atlético Balboa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Isidro Metapán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Isidro Metapán holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Isidro Metapán has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26
10	Atletico Balboa	14	3	4	7	15:22	-7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
26.09.26	Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Isidro Metapán - INCA-Aruba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWL
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
29.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Cacahuatique	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Atlético Balboa	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Isidro Metapán	0:0

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