Match Info

HNL - Round 26

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Gradski stadion Varazdin (Varaždin)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Varaždin		Vukovar 91

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.4
	2.08	3.3	3.35
	2.13	3.2	3.75
	2.05	3.38	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.09	3.44	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.98)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varaždin
45.1%

Draw
28.2%

Vukovar 91
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Varaždin - Vukovar 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varaždin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 14. Puncec R. (C) 4. Skaricic L. 20. Sikosek G. 28. Canjuga I. 8. Duvnjak T. 7. Vuk M. 22. Mamic L. 10. Latkovic A. 9. Juric S.	22. Pintol D. (G) 16. Pavicic K. 34. Tadic M. 14. Zivkovic M. 91. Ticinovic M. 35. Gurlica J. 13. Caic V. 8. Bosec A. 50. Spoljaric J. 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J. (C)
Substitutes
12. Bockaj P. 25. Borsic A. 2. Lesjak S. 24. Marina M. 13. Mladenovski M. 21. Novak T. (G) 18. Paizinho 30. Posinkovic L. 6. Puclin D. 38. Tavares I. 16. Tepsic N. 1. Zelenika O. (G)	39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 27. Butic S. 20. Cabrajic K. 7. Calhanoglu K. 42. Djakovic A. (G) 26. Elez J. 10. Gonzalez R. 19. Jurilj A. 33. Klanac L. 5. Vlasenko N.
Coaches
Safaric N.	Cabraja S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Puncec R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Skaricic L. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Spoljaric J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Caic V. ↓, Cabrajic K. ↑,
46', Ticinovic M. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
48', Puljic J. 🟨,
53', Pavicic K. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
62', Juric S. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
72', Maglica F. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Latkovic A. ⚽,
77', Latkovic A. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
77', Canjuga I. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
78', Banovec L. 🟨,
87', Vuk M. ↓, Paizinho ↑,
87', Mamic L. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Recent form of Varaždin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vukovar 91 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Varaždin could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M. (Inactive) Ilinkovic S. (Injury) Mamut I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J. (Inactive) Shabani E. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13:7	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
07.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.02.26	Varaždin - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Rijeka - Varaždin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL
- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
08.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Osijek - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Gorica - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
12.12.25	Vukovar 91 - Varaždin	2:0
26.09.25	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:1

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