Match Info

HNL - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Istra 1961		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.67
				Watch
	4.25	3.65	1.75
	4.59	3.86	1.74
	4.51	3.87	1.71	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.32	3.65	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.83)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
21.3%

Draw
25.2%

Hajduk Split
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.3%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (G) 97. Kadusic A. 3. Nasraoui M. 16. Miettinen S. 26. Heister M. 5. Radosevic J. (C) 23. Stulac L. 17. Frederiksen E. 8. Mauric A. 7. Rozic V. 9. Prevljak S.	33. Silic T. (G) 8. Sigur N. 31. Sarlija Z. 15. Maresic D. 17. Melnjak D. 4. Pajaziti A. 23. Krovinovic F. 28. Brajkovic R. 21. Pukstas R. 11. Sego M. 10. Livaja M. (C)
Substitutes
77. Agada C. 20. Ahmeti D. 25. Albarracin G. 11. Gorican S. 44. Hrvatin R. 10. Loncar S. 29. Obando A. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 13. Sepic N. 30. Skafar Zuzic N.	5. Diallo I. 34. Durdov B. 6. Guillamon H. 26. Guram A. 32. Hrgovic S. 7. Kalik A. 41. Pocrnjic I. (G) 14. Raci R. 24. Sanyang A. 36. Skelin M. 37. Skoko N. 44. Stipica D. (G)
Coaches
Riera O.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kadusic A. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
34', Livaja M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Frederiksen E. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Sego M. (A),
58', 0 - 3, Livaja M. ⚽, Pukstas R. (A),
59', Stulac L. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
67', Mauric A. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
76', Pukstas R. ↓, Skoko N. ↑,
76', Sego M. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
76', Miettinen S. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
76', Rozic V. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
76', Prevljak S. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
81', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
81', Krovinovic F. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Agada C. ⚽,
86', Sanyang A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Istra 1961: Mauric A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I. (Muscle Injury) Hodak L. (Muscle Injury) Ivusic I. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18:9	9	19
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17:14	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Istra 1961 - Osijek	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLL
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
21.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split	0:6 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Hajduk Split - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.02.26	Varaždin - Hajduk Split	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	1:2
19.10.25	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	0:3
03.08.25	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	2:1
23.04.25	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	0:1
15.02.25	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:1
09.11.24	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	1:1
25.08.24	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:1

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