Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Belence Alves dos Prazeres Filho P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Ituano		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.33	3.4	1.83
	4.67	3.55	1.89
	4.21	3.38	1.88	Watch
	4	3.5	1.83
	4.27	3.5	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.05)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
21.9%

Draw
27.2%

América Mineiro
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.7%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.1%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Ituano - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). América MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (G) 2. Marcinho 3. Guilherme Mariano 4. Walber 6. Richard 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Jose Aldo 7. Vinicius Paiva 9. Salatiel (C) 11. Ze Eduardo	1. Elias (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 45. Ricardo Silva 33. Eder 6. Marlon 16. Ale 8. Juninho (C) 19. Felipe Amaral 28. Fabinho 78. Renato Marques 11. Felipe Azevedo
Substitutes
15. Aluisio 17. Bruno Xavier 18. Gabriel Falcao 16. Izidoro 19. Jonathan 13. Leo Oliveira 20. Leozinho 21. Neto Berola 14. Rocha M. 23. Ruan Carlos 22. Vinicius Poz 12. Wesley Borges (G)	9. Brenner 31. Dalberson (G) 20. Daniel Borges 71. Jonathan 3. Lucao 15. Moises 7. Vinicius 29. Vitor Jacare 77. Wallisson 37. Willians T. 68. Yago Santos 69. Yago Souza
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Cauan Almeida

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ze Eduardo 🟨,
37', Felipe Azevedo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Willians T. ↑,
46', Eder ↓, Lucao ↑,
58', Fabinho 🟨,
69', Felipe Amaral ↓, Moises ↑,
69', Renato Marques ↓, Brenner ↑,
70', Ze Eduardo ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
76', Miqueias ↓, Gabriel Falcao ↑,
83', Richard 🟥,
86', Juninho ↓, Vitor Jacare ↑,
86', Jose Aldo ↓, Aluisio ↑,
86', Marcinho ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
87', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Vinicius Poz ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Ituano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches América MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match América MG is a favorite.

There will not play in Ituano: Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

There will not play in América MG: Martin Benitez (Injury) Rodriguinho (Injury) Vinicius (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
20.07.24	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:0 ✺
15.07.24	Santos - Ituano	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Ceará - Ituano	4:2 ✺
22.06.24	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
02.07.24	Goiás - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
25.06.24	América Mineiro - Avaí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWLT

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